BTS Pro Series Season 8. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 1:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:1
D2 Hustlersloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
D2 Hustlers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
376 picks · 172 bans
Hoodwink
346 picks · 124 bans
Lina
267 picks · 473 bans
Nyx Assassin
259 picks · 523 bans
Luna
252 picks · 350 bans
Mars
246 picks · 418 bans
Pangolier
239 picks · 300 bans
Dragon Knight
236 picks · 328 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 36%
Hero pool strength50% Hokori
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed44:49
Hokori 54%D2 Hustlers 46%
The model gave 54% on Hokori — the game was taken by D2 Hustlers in 56:12.
Game 2prediction missed17:36
Hokori 54%D2 Hustlers 46%
The model gave 54% on Hokori — the game was taken by D2 Hustlers in 35:17.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 54%
Accuracy by game0 of 2