IESF World Championship 2021. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Филиппиныwin 2:0series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ББрунейloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Филиппины
No games played over 6 months.
Бруней
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
367 picks · 170 bans
Hoodwink
346 picks · 123 bans
Lina
266 picks · 457 bans
Nyx Assassin
259 picks · 520 bans
Luna
250 picks · 347 bans
Mars
243 picks · 411 bans
Winter Wyvern
236 picks · 244 bans
Dragon Knight
234 picks · 328 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Филиппины
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Филиппины
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteФилиппины · 53%
Series resultФилиппины 2:0
Series predictioncorrect