BTS Pro Series Season 8. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction44Gringosloss 1:1
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:1
D2 Hustlersloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4Gringos
Brewmasteroften banned
Valquiria · 1 game
Clockwerkoften banned
Giant · 1 game
Dark Seeroften banned
Valquiria · 1 game
Shadow Demonoften banned
Giant · 1 game
Svenoften banned
dnm · 1 game
Weaver
dnm · 1 game
D2 Hustlers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
370 picks · 172 bans
Hoodwink
347 picks · 123 bans
Lina
266 picks · 451 bans
Nyx Assassin
259 picks · 523 bans
Luna
249 picks · 343 bans
Mars
238 picks · 410 bans
Winter Wyvern
238 picks · 245 bans
Dragon Knight
236 picks · 329 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 45%
Hero pool strength51% 4Gringos
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% D2 Hustlers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:39
4Gringos 47%D2 Hustlers 53%
The model gave 53% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by D2 Hustlers in 45:04.
Game 2prediction missed14:16
4Gringos 47%D2 Hustlers 53%
The model gave 53% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by 4Gringos in 18:16.
Model check result
Model favoriteD2 Hustlers · 53%
Accuracy by game1 of 2