IESF World Championship 2021. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Хорватияloss 0:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Украинаwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Хорватия
No games played over 6 months.
Украина
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
369 picks · 173 bans
Hoodwink
348 picks · 123 bans
Lina
266 picks · 449 bans
Nyx Assassin
260 picks · 523 bans
Luna
249 picks · 344 bans
Winter Wyvern
240 picks · 246 bans
Dragon Knight
237 picks · 331 bans
Mars
236 picks · 409 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Хорватия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Хорватия
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteХорватия · 53%
Series resultУкраина 0:2
Series predictionmissed