BTS Pro Series Season 8. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 1:1series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:1
44Gringosloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
4Gringos
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
379 picks · 171 bans
Hoodwink
348 picks · 125 bans
Lina
262 picks · 436 bans
Nyx Assassin
260 picks · 522 bans
Dragon Knight
253 picks · 341 bans
Luna
251 picks · 345 bans
Winter Wyvern
250 picks · 246 bans
Mars
238 picks · 402 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Hokori
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed45:18
Hokori 55%4Gringos 45%
The model gave 55% on Hokori — the game was taken by 4Gringos in 36:33.
Game 2prediction missed30:32
Hokori 55%4Gringos 45%
The model gave 55% on Hokori — the game was taken by 4Gringos in 39:56.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 55%
Accuracy by game0 of 2