OB.Moon Asian Arena · BO2
result vs prediction
Ragdollloss 1:1series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Lilgunloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ragdoll
No games played over 6 months.
Lilgun
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
382 picks · 171 bans
Hoodwink
349 picks · 127 bans
Lina
261 picks · 432 bans
Nyx Assassin
260 picks · 522 bans
Dragon Knight
255 picks · 344 bans
Luna
253 picks · 344 bans
Winter Wyvern
249 picks · 245 bans
Terrorblade
237 picks · 496 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 36%
Hero pool strength50% Ragdoll
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Ragdoll
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteRagdoll · 53%