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Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
qwerty44loss 0:2
series probability
12%88%
probability at match start · final 0:2
V-Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

qwerty44

Invoker
Invokeroften banned
USHUSHUSH · 5 games
20%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
Kom4rt · 3 games
33%
Omniknight
Omniknightoften banned
Fezor · 3 games
0%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
Fezor · 3 games
0%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
USHUSHUSH · 2 games
0%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Kom4rt · 2 games
0%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Fezor · 2 games
0%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Fezor · 2 games
0%

V-Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 25 games
72%
Lina
Linasignature
hAze · 17 games
71%
Puck
Puckoften banned
hAze · 17 games
53%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Malady · 15 games
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Malady · 14 games
79%
Axe
Axeoften banned
TA2000 · 13 games
46%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
laise · 13 games
54%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
ArrOw · 13 games
69%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
376 picks · 170 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
349 picks · 126 bans
48%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
258 picks · 519 bans
57%
Lina
Lina
255 picks · 418 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
254 picks · 343 bans
47%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
248 picks · 243 bans
54%
Luna
Luna
246 picks · 336 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
236 picks · 495 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 71%
Hero pool strength67% V-Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% V-Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct48:43
qwerty44 23%V-Gaming 77%
The model gave 77% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 50:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingKom4rt
45% · 67 games53% · 86 games
BloodseekerTA2000
Bloodseeker
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritUSHUSHUSH
51% · 58 games56% · 27 games
Shadow FiendhAze
Shadow Fiend
Pangolier
PangolierFezor
45% · 131 game47% · 86 games
Tidehunterlaise
Tidehunter
55% · 49 games
Shadow DemonArrOw
Shadow Demon
75% · 8 games
Vengeful SpiritMalady
Vengeful Spirit
Game 2prediction correct26:48
qwerty44 25%V-Gaming 75%
The model gave 75% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 33:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerKom4rt
50% · 43 games55% · 7 games
WeaverTA2000
Weaver
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritUSHUSHUSH
47% · 92 games49% · 41 game
InvokerhAze
Invoker
Pudge
PudgeFezor
55% · 8 games50% · 25 games
Bloodseekerlaise
Bloodseeker
51% · 51 game
LionArrOw
Lion
59% · 19 games
Treant ProtectorMalady
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoriteV-Gaming · 88%
Series resultV-Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2