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BTS Pro Series Season 8. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Execrationloss 1:1
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Neon Esportsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Execration

Puck
Pucksignature
Bob · 15 games
60%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
RR · 14 games
71%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Palos · 14 games
50%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
RR · 12 games
67%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
RR · 12 games
58%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Yowe · 12 games
58%
Doom
Doomsignature
Force · 10 games
80%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
RR · 10 games
80%

Neon Esports

Mirana
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 28 games
64%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
PlayHard · 27 games
63%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Skem · 23 games
57%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Yopaj · 21 game
52%
Tusk
Tusk
Jaunuel · 19 games
47%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Yopaj · 18 games
56%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Deth · 15 games
60%
Lion
Lion
Jaunuel · 15 games
47%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
381 picks · 169 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
351 picks · 127 bans
48%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
260 picks · 518 bans
57%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
258 picks · 346 bans
47%
Lina
Lina
251 picks · 411 bans
52%
Luna
Luna
247 picks · 330 bans
51%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
247 picks · 243 bans
54%
Puck
Puck
234 picks · 541 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 63%
Hero pool strength54% Execration
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total59% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 59%