OB.Moon Asian Arena · BO2
result vs prediction
Ragdollloss 1:1series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:1
iG Vitalityloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ragdoll
No games played over 6 months.
iG Vitality
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
381 picks · 169 bans
Hoodwink
351 picks · 127 bans
Nyx Assassin
260 picks · 516 bans
Dragon Knight
258 picks · 345 bans
Lina
249 picks · 411 bans
Luna
247 picks · 330 bans
Winter Wyvern
247 picks · 242 bans
Puck
234 picks · 541 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Ragdoll
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Ragdoll
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:28
Ragdoll 55%iG Vitality 45%
The model gave 55% on Ragdoll — the game was taken by iG Vitality in 41:37.
Game 2prediction correct30:14
Ragdoll 55%iG Vitality 45%
The model gave 55% on Ragdoll — the game was taken by Ragdoll in 35:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteRagdoll · 55%
Accuracy by game1 of 2