Randomania 2 по Dota 2 · BO1
result vs predictionЗЗаНастенькуwin 1:0
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:0
НПНе повезлоloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ЗаНастеньку
No games played over 6 months.
Не повезло
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
495 picks · 356 bans
Rubick
381 picks · 227 bans
Clockwerk
345 picks · 643 bans
Tiny
337 picks · 344 bans
Windranger
314 picks · 230 bans
Bane
301 picks · 291 bans
Pangolier
291 picks · 394 bans
Ember Spirit
287 picks · 419 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% ЗаНастеньку
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% ЗаНастеньку
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
ЗаНастеньку 51%Не повезло 49%
The model gave 51% on ЗаНастеньку — the game was taken by ЗаНастеньку.
Model check result
Model favoriteЗаНастеньку · 51%
Series resultЗаНастеньку 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1