OB.Moon Asian Arena · BO2
result vs prediction
Omega Esportsloss 0:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ragdollwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Omega Esports
Dragon Knightoften banned
Sam_H · 12 games
Grimstrokesignature
cml · 10 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Sam_H · 9 games
Tinyoften banned
Tino- · 9 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
cml · 7 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mac · 7 games
Void Spiritsignature
Mac · 7 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Mac · 6 games
Ragdoll
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
389 picks · 168 bans
Hoodwink
352 picks · 127 bans
Dragon Knight
267 picks · 348 bans
Nyx Assassin
260 picks · 525 bans
Lina
251 picks · 407 bans
Winter Wyvern
251 picks · 242 bans
Luna
246 picks · 325 bans
Puck
237 picks · 542 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Omega Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Omega Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:34
Omega Esports 56%Ragdoll 44%
The model gave 56% on Omega Esports — the game was taken by Ragdoll in 25:54.
Game 2prediction missed43:27
Omega Esports 56%Ragdoll 44%
The model gave 56% on Omega Esports — the game was taken by Ragdoll in 34:07.
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega Esports · 56%
Series resultRagdoll 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2