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Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Uniqueloss 1:2
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:2
B8 Esportswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Unique

No games played over 6 months.

B8 Esports

Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Yuma · 10 games
70%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
[T]SA · 10 games
50%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Limitless · 9 games
56%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Davai · 9 games
44%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lancersignature
Watson · 8 games
63%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Limitless · 7 games
71%
Lina
Linaoften banned
[T]SA · 7 games
43%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Dendi · 7 games
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
391 picks · 172 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
352 picks · 127 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
268 picks · 351 bans
48%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
263 picks · 532 bans
57%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
251 picks · 242 bans
54%
Lina
Lina
249 picks · 404 bans
52%
Luna
Luna
246 picks · 329 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
239 picks · 400 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 47%
Hero pool strength54% B8 Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total64% Team Unique
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:37
Team Unique 64%B8 Esports 36%
The model gave 64% on Team Unique — the game was taken by B8 Esports in 1:06:11.
Game 2prediction missed4:22
Team Unique 64%B8 Esports 36%
The model gave 64% on Team Unique — the game was taken by B8 Esports in 25:12.
Game 3prediction missed9:25
Team Unique 64%B8 Esports 36%
The model gave 64% on Team Unique — the game was taken by B8 Esports in 43:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Unique · 64%
Series resultB8 Esports 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3