i-League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Royal Never Give Uploss 0:2series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Elephantwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Elephant
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
398 picks · 174 bans
Hoodwink
355 picks · 129 bans
Nyx Assassin
274 picks · 562 bans
Dragon Knight
271 picks · 354 bans
Mars
264 picks · 415 bans
Winter Wyvern
259 picks · 243 bans
Puck
254 picks · 560 bans
Lina
247 picks · 386 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 68%
Hero pool strength50% Royal Never Give Up
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total63% Elephant
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:29
Royal Never Give Up 37%Elephant 63%
The model gave 63% on Elephant — the game was taken by Elephant in 31:24.
Game 2prediction correct34:23
Royal Never Give Up 37%Elephant 63%
The model gave 63% on Elephant — the game was taken by Elephant in 46:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteElephant · 63%
Series resultElephant 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2