i-League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingwin 2:1series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team MagMaloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Team MagMa
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
397 picks · 176 bans
Hoodwink
356 picks · 129 bans
Nyx Assassin
274 picks · 563 bans
Dragon Knight
271 picks · 355 bans
Mars
264 picks · 414 bans
Winter Wyvern
259 picks · 243 bans
Puck
255 picks · 563 bans
Lina
247 picks · 383 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 47%
Hero pool strength50% Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head3 – 3
Model total70% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed9:29
Invictus Gaming 70%Team MagMa 30%
The model gave 70% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team MagMa in 36:04.
Game 2prediction missed29:17
Invictus Gaming 70%Team MagMa 30%
The model gave 70% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team MagMa in 30:45.
Game 3prediction missed28:12
Invictus Gaming 70%Team MagMa 30%
The model gave 70% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team MagMa in 33:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 70%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3