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Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
B8 Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 0:2
V-Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

B8 Esports

Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Yuma · 9 games
78%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Limitless · 9 games
56%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
[T]SA · 9 games
56%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Davai · 9 games
44%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Davai · 7 games
71%
Lina
Linaoften banned
[T]SA · 7 games
43%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lancersignature
Watson · 7 games
71%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Yuma · 7 games
71%

V-Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 24 games
71%
Puck
Puckoften banned
hAze · 16 games
50%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Malady · 15 games
53%
Lina
Linasignature
hAze · 15 games
73%
Axe
Axeoften banned
TA2000 · 13 games
46%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
laise · 13 games
54%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
laise · 12 games
75%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Malady · 12 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
400 picks · 176 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
358 picks · 130 bans
49%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
282 picks · 576 bans
57%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
272 picks · 358 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
271 picks · 427 bans
48%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
261 picks · 244 bans
54%
Puck
Puck
258 picks · 578 bans
50%
Lina
Lina
249 picks · 376 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 68%
Hero pool strength53% V-Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% V-Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:31
B8 Esports 38%V-Gaming 62%
The model gave 62% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 25:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkz
ClinkzWatson
59% · 9 games44% · 100 games
TerrorbladeTA2000
Terrorblade
Puck
PuckDendi
51% · 177 games39% · 22 games
Night Stalkerlaise
Night Stalker
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritLimitless
61% · 7 games39% · 64 games
BatriderhAze
Batrider
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin[T]SA
58% · 125 games58% · 81 game
Keeper of the LightArrOw
Keeper of the Light
47% · 51 game
DisruptorMalady
Disruptor
Game 2prediction correct14:48
B8 Esports 33%V-Gaming 67%
The model gave 67% on V-Gaming — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 27:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidWatson
51% · 90 games54% · 35 games
Templar AssassinTA2000
Templar Assassin
Night Stalker
Night StalkerDendi
40% · 30 games58% · 92 games
PuckhAze
Puck
Jakiro
JakiroLimitless
26% · 11 games64% · 32 games
Bloodseekerlaise
Bloodseeker
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light[T]SA
43% · 88 games41% · 23 games
Treant ProtectorMalady
Treant Protector
56% · 37 games
Shadow DemonArrOw
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteV-Gaming · 77%
Series resultV-Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2