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BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
OGwin 1:0
series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 1:0
REKONIXloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Snapfire
Snapfire
Daze · 31 game
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Tims · 26 games
65%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Yopaj · 23 games
65%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Skem · 23 games
43%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Shad · 22 games
50%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Force · 20 games
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MikSa` · 20 games
45%
Mars
Marssignature
Force · 20 games
70%

REKONIX

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 22 games
68%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 12 games
83%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 11 games
45%
Tusk
Tusksignature
dalul · 11 games
64%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
TraVins · 10 games
80%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
inYourdreaM · 10 games
70%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
inYourdreaM · 10 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 9 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
608 picks · 945 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
538 picks · 438 bans
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
487 picks · 641 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
482 picks · 640 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
443 picks · 964 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
401 picks · 659 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
394 picks · 539 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
387 picks · 237 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% REKONIX
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:5
OG 74%REKONIX 26%
The model gave 74% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 33:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezNatsumi
47% · 50 games53% · 98 games
BristlebackTraVins
Bristleback
Dark Seer
Dark SeerForce
56% · 172 games53% · 54 games
Void SpiritinYourdreaM
Void Spirit
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritYopaj
61% · 21 game53% · 144 games
MarsFbz
Mars
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerTims
46% · 50 games44% · 96 games
Dark Willowdalul
Dark Willow
Dazzle
DazzleSkem
42% · 158 games49% · 59 games
Ancient ApparitionVarizh
Ancient Apparition
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 88%
Series resultOG 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1