i-League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Royal Never Give Uploss 1:2series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Vici Gamingwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Vici Gaming
Grimstroke
Dy · 26 games
Void Spiritsignature
Ori · 25 games
Marsoften banned
ELeVeN · 22 games
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 22 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Ori · 22 games
Timbersawsignature
ELeVeN · 22 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Ori · 21 game
Earth Spirit
Pyw · 21 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
407 picks · 184 bans
Hoodwink
359 picks · 131 bans
Nyx Assassin
291 picks · 593 bans
Dragon Knight
278 picks · 359 bans
Mars
271 picks · 454 bans
Puck
264 picks · 594 bans
Winter Wyvern
261 picks · 246 bans
Lina
251 picks · 376 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 46%
Hero pool strength56% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 5
Model total64% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:9
Royal Never Give Up 36%Vici Gaming 64%
The model gave 64% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 35:25.
Game 2prediction correct12:28
Royal Never Give Up 36%Vici Gaming 64%
The model gave 64% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 31:53.
Game 3prediction correct33:14
Royal Never Give Up 36%Vici Gaming 64%
The model gave 64% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 37:54.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 64%
Series resultVici Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3