i-League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Asterwin 2:1series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Invictus Gamingloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Aster
Abaddonsignature
LaNm · 20 games
Leshracsignature
White丶Album · 20 games
Puckoften banned
White丶Album · 20 games
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 19 games
Lionsignature
BoBoKa · 16 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Monet · 16 games
Axesignature
Xxs · 15 games
Lunasignature
LaNm · 14 games
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
408 picks · 186 bans
Hoodwink
359 picks · 131 bans
Nyx Assassin
292 picks · 594 bans
Dragon Knight
278 picks · 359 bans
Mars
274 picks · 454 bans
Puck
265 picks · 597 bans
Winter Wyvern
261 picks · 247 bans
Lina
252 picks · 375 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 44%
Hero pool strength56% Team Aster
Head-to-head5 – 4
Model total61% Team Aster
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:11
Team Aster 61%Invictus Gaming 39%
The model gave 61% on Team Aster — the game was taken by Team Aster in 32:36.
Game 2prediction missed30:28
Team Aster 61%Invictus Gaming 39%
The model gave 61% on Team Aster — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 38:57.
Game 3prediction correct33:23
Team Aster 61%Invictus Gaming 39%
The model gave 61% on Team Aster — the game was taken by Team Aster in 43:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Aster · 61%
Series resultTeam Aster 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3