i-League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Elephantloss 0:2series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Invictus Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Elephant
No games played over 6 months.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
412 picks · 186 bans
Hoodwink
358 picks · 131 bans
Nyx Assassin
295 picks · 596 bans
Dragon Knight
281 picks · 362 bans
Mars
277 picks · 459 bans
Puck
269 picks · 602 bans
Winter Wyvern
261 picks · 245 bans
Lina
254 picks · 368 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 42%
Hero pool strength50% Elephant
Head-to-head3 – 3
Model total60% Elephant
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed6:25
Elephant 60%Invictus Gaming 40%
The model gave 60% on Elephant — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 32:34.
Game 2prediction missed37:42
Elephant 60%Invictus Gaming 40%
The model gave 60% on Elephant — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 54:54.
Model check result
Model favoriteElephant · 60%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2