i-League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Aster.Ariesloss 0:2series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Elephantwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Aster.Aries
Puckoften banned
phoenix · 16 games
Marsoften banned
生死 · 13 games
Morphlingoften banned
Ulu · 9 games
Void Spirit
phoenix · 9 games
Doomoften banned
生死 · 8 games
Ursaoften banned
Ulu · 8 games
Abaddonoften banned
Fantasy · 7 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
生死 · 7 games
Elephant
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
411 picks · 188 bans
Hoodwink
356 picks · 132 bans
Nyx Assassin
295 picks · 597 bans
Dragon Knight
281 picks · 361 bans
Mars
277 picks · 460 bans
Puck
274 picks · 611 bans
Winter Wyvern
263 picks · 243 bans
Lina
252 picks · 362 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 68%
Hero pool strength55% Elephant
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total73% Elephant
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteElephant · 73%
Series resultElephant 0:2
Series predictioncorrect