i-League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
19%81%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team MagMa
No games played over 6 months.
Team Aster
Puckoften banned
White丶Album · 22 games
Abaddonsignature
LaNm · 20 games
Leshracsignature
White丶Album · 20 games
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 19 games
Lionsignature
BoBoKa · 16 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Monet · 16 games
Axesignature
Xxs · 15 games
Treant Protector
LaNm · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
414 picks · 192 bans
Hoodwink
358 picks · 134 bans
Nyx Assassin
299 picks · 604 bans
Puck
282 picks · 626 bans
Dragon Knight
280 picks · 360 bans
Mars
280 picks · 471 bans
Winter Wyvern
269 picks · 244 bans
Lina
253 picks · 361 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% Team Aster
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total81% Team Aster
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Aster · 81%
Series resultTeam Aster 0:2
Series predictioncorrect