i-League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingloss 0:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Elephantwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Elephant
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
403 picks · 189 bans
Hoodwink
353 picks · 134 bans
Nyx Assassin
291 picks · 592 bans
Puck
283 picks · 617 bans
Dragon Knight
280 picks · 357 bans
Winter Wyvern
268 picks · 233 bans
Mars
267 picks · 470 bans
Lina
251 picks · 354 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 69%
Hero pool strength50% Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total53% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:14
Invictus Gaming 53%Elephant 47%
The model gave 53% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Elephant in 37:16.
Game 2prediction missed36:33
Invictus Gaming 53%Elephant 47%
The model gave 53% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Elephant in 48:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 53%
Series resultElephant 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2