i-League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingwin 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team MagMaloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vici Gaming
Grimstroke
Dy · 26 games
Void Spiritsignature
Ori · 24 games
Marsoften banned
ELeVeN · 23 games
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 22 games
Timbersawsignature
ELeVeN · 22 games
Earth Spirit
Pyw · 21 game
Storm Spiritsignature
Ori · 20 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ori · 19 games
Team MagMa
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
402 picks · 190 bans
Hoodwink
353 picks · 134 bans
Nyx Assassin
292 picks · 593 bans
Puck
283 picks · 618 bans
Dragon Knight
279 picks · 357 bans
Winter Wyvern
268 picks · 233 bans
Mars
267 picks · 470 bans
Ancient Apparition
251 picks · 420 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 56%
Hero pool strength55% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total73% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:12
Vici Gaming 73%Team MagMa 27%
The model gave 73% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 34:24.
Game 2prediction correct32:9
Vici Gaming 73%Team MagMa 27%
The model gave 73% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 22:01.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 73%
Series resultVici Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2