Randomania 2 по Dota 2 · BO1
result vs predictionППарижанеloss 0:1
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:1
ББумерыwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Парижане
No games played over 6 months.
Бумеры
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
496 picks · 356 bans
Rubick
381 picks · 228 bans
Clockwerk
344 picks · 641 bans
Tiny
338 picks · 343 bans
Windranger
314 picks · 230 bans
Bane
299 picks · 290 bans
Pangolier
291 picks · 396 bans
Ember Spirit
287 picks · 421 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Парижане
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Бумеры
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Парижане 30%Бумеры 70%
The model gave 70% on Бумеры — the game was taken by Бумеры.
Model check result
Model favoriteБумеры · 70%
Series resultБумеры 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1