i-League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Elephantloss 0:2series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Elephant
No games played over 6 months.
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
412 picks · 191 bans
Hoodwink
356 picks · 135 bans
Nyx Assassin
305 picks · 600 bans
Puck
290 picks · 632 bans
Dragon Knight
283 picks · 358 bans
Mars
272 picks · 480 bans
Winter Wyvern
267 picks · 228 bans
Ancient Apparition
264 picks · 435 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 52%
Hero pool strength50% Elephant
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total66% Elephant
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:6
Elephant 66%Royal Never Give Up 34%
The model gave 66% on Elephant — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 28:24.
Game 2prediction missed21:31
Elephant 66%Royal Never Give Up 34%
The model gave 66% on Elephant — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 40:21.
Model check result
Model favoriteElephant · 66%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2