i-League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingloss 1:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Asterwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Team Aster
Puckoften banned
White丶Album · 23 games
Abaddonsignature
LaNm · 21 game
Leshracsignature
White丶Album · 20 games
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 20 games
Lionsignature
BoBoKa · 15 games
Treant Protector
LaNm · 15 games
Axesignature
Xxs · 14 games
Lunasignature
LaNm · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
413 picks · 189 bans
Hoodwink
358 picks · 134 bans
Nyx Assassin
308 picks · 597 bans
Puck
295 picks · 639 bans
Dragon Knight
282 picks · 358 bans
Mars
273 picks · 487 bans
Ancient Apparition
270 picks · 440 bans
Winter Wyvern
263 picks · 227 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 53%
Hero pool strength54% Team Aster
Head-to-head4 – 4
Model total53% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:14
Invictus Gaming 53%Team Aster 47%
The model gave 53% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team Aster in 28:41.
Game 2prediction missed31:26
Invictus Gaming 53%Team Aster 47%
The model gave 53% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team Aster in 42:07.
Game 3prediction missed10:4
Invictus Gaming 53%Team Aster 47%
The model gave 53% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team Aster in 14:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 53%
Series resultTeam Aster 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3