i-League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team MagMaloss 1:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team MagMa
No games played over 6 months.
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
414 picks · 189 bans
Hoodwink
359 picks · 134 bans
Nyx Assassin
309 picks · 597 bans
Puck
295 picks · 641 bans
Dragon Knight
284 picks · 357 bans
Mars
272 picks · 488 bans
Ancient Apparition
270 picks · 441 bans
Winter Wyvern
263 picks · 227 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 48%
Hero pool strength50% Team MagMa
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total55% Royal Never Give Up
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:24
Team MagMa 45%Royal Never Give Up 55%
The model gave 55% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 43:01.
Game 2prediction correct21:29
Team MagMa 45%Royal Never Give Up 55%
The model gave 55% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 43:35.
Game 3prediction correct27:14
Team MagMa 45%Royal Never Give Up 55%
The model gave 55% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 33:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoyal Never Give Up · 55%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3