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BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
MOUZwin 1:0
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Yandexloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

MOUZ

Tusk
Tusksignature
yamich · 66 games
70%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Seleri · 52 games
56%
Pudge
Pudge
yamich · 47 games
55%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
MidOne · 45 games
64%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
BOOM · 41 game
61%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
Crystallis · 34 games
71%
Mars
Marssignature
BOOM · 34 games
65%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Seleri · 34 games
71%

Team Yandex

Tusk
Tusksignature
Malady · 31 game
68%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 29 games
76%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 21 game
67%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 21 game
62%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 21 game
48%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 19 games
79%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 19 games
79%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Malady · 18 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
609 picks · 938 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
537 picks · 437 bans
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
489 picks · 644 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
486 picks · 650 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
444 picks · 956 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
397 picks · 653 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
392 picks · 532 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
380 picks · 234 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 64%
Hero pool strength51% Team Yandex
Head-to-head2 – 4
Model total67% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:12
MOUZ 41%Team Yandex 59%
The model gave 59% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by MOUZ in 38:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawBOOM
56% · 184 games41% · 213 games
Templar AssassinWatson
Templar Assassin
Monkey King
Monkey KingCrystallis
55% · 192 games45% · 122 games
UnderlordNoticed
Underlord
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMidOne
52% · 285 games50% · 173 games
SlardarChira JUNIOR
Slardar
Pugna
PugnaSeleri
53% · 163 games46% · 181 game
ClockwerkMalady
Clockwerk
Lion
Lionyamich
53% · 95 games50% · 230 games
Shadow ShamanSaksa
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 67%
Series resultMOUZ 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1