LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO3
result vs prediction
Team SMGwin 2:0series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 2:0
T1loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team SMG
Lion
Roddgeee · 17 games
Abaddonsignature
Roddgeee · 13 games
Brewmastersignature
kpii · 12 games
Grimstroke
AhFu · 11 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
AhFu · 11 games
Tusksignature
AhFu · 11 games
Winter Wyvernsignature
Moon · 11 games
Marssignature
Ohaiyo · 10 games
T1
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
431 picks · 185 bans
Hoodwink
340 picks · 130 bans
Nyx Assassin
312 picks · 630 bans
Puck
304 picks · 680 bans
Ancient Apparition
296 picks · 467 bans
Mars
290 picks · 517 bans
Dragon Knight
274 picks · 351 bans
Lina
263 picks · 354 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 58%
Hero pool strength59% Team SMG
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% T1
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed44:15
Team SMG 35%T1 65%
The model gave 65% on T1 — the game was taken by Team SMG in 38:40.
Game 2prediction missed35:28
Team SMG 35%T1 65%
The model gave 65% on T1 — the game was taken by Team SMG in 45:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteT1 · 65%
Series resultTeam SMG 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2