LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO3
result vs prediction
Fnaticloss 0:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nigma Galaxy SEAwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Nigma Galaxy SEA
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 18 games
Pucksignature
AlaCrity · 16 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 12 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Meracle · 10 games
Grimstroke
343 · 9 games
Enchantresssignature
Poloson · 8 games
Dark Seeroften banned
Meracle · 7 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
432 picks · 185 bans
Hoodwink
339 picks · 129 bans
Nyx Assassin
311 picks · 631 bans
Puck
304 picks · 677 bans
Ancient Apparition
297 picks · 467 bans
Mars
292 picks · 518 bans
Dragon Knight
276 picks · 349 bans
Lina
263 picks · 353 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 53%
Hero pool strength54% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total52% Fnatic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:23
Fnatic 52%Nigma Galaxy SEA 48%
The model gave 52% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 57:10.
Game 2prediction missed33:26
Fnatic 52%Nigma Galaxy SEA 48%
The model gave 52% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 50:35.
Model check result
Model favoriteFnatic · 52%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2