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BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
OGloss 0:1
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Spiritwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Snapfire
Snapfire
Daze · 31 game
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Tims · 25 games
68%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Yopaj · 23 games
65%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Skem · 22 games
41%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Shad · 21 game
52%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Force · 20 games
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MikSa` · 20 games
45%
Mars
Marssignature
Force · 20 games
70%

Team Spirit

Tusk
Tusksignature
rue · 26 games
62%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 21 game
67%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Panto · 20 games
60%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 19 games
74%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
rue · 19 games
63%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 18 games
56%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Collapse · 17 games
71%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Panto · 16 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
607 picks · 939 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
537 picks · 435 bans
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
491 picks · 645 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
483 picks · 654 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
442 picks · 955 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
397 picks · 653 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
391 picks · 531 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
379 picks · 233 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% Team Spirit
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total53% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:23
OG 53%Team Spirit 47%
The model gave 53% on OG — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 47:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinNatsumi
54% · 276 games49% · 125 games
MorphlingYatoro
Morphling
Void Spirit
Void SpiritYopaj
53% · 231 game48% · 178 games
Queen of PainMirele
Queen of Pain
Primal Beast
Primal BeastForce
56% · 146 games42% · 260 games
MarsCollapse
Mars
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSkem
56% · 279 games44% · 284 games
WarlockPanto
Warlock
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidTims
55% · 89 games43% · 174 games
Dark Willowrue
Dark Willow
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 53%
Series resultTeam Spirit 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1