LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
NoPing VPNwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
NoPing VPN
Gyrocoptersignature
Accel · 27 games
Timbersawsignature
Oscar · 24 games
Tinysignature
DarkMago · 21 game
Abaddonoften banned
Panda · 19 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Oscar · 18 games
Marssignature
Oscar · 16 games
Miranasignature
Michael · 16 games
Earth Spiritsignature
Michael · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
439 picks · 183 bans
Hoodwink
334 picks · 128 bans
Nyx Assassin
313 picks · 627 bans
Puck
311 picks · 679 bans
Ancient Apparition
304 picks · 467 bans
Mars
294 picks · 522 bans
Dragon Knight
271 picks · 345 bans
Lina
261 picks · 357 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 47%
Hero pool strength56% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total57% NoPing VPN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:32
Hokori 43%NoPing VPN 57%
The model gave 57% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 36:24.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoPing VPN · 57%
Series resultNoPing VPN 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1