LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO3
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAwin 2:1series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:1
T1loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nigma Galaxy SEA
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 17 games
Pucksignature
AlaCrity · 16 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 11 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Meracle · 8 games
Dark Seeroften banned
Meracle · 7 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 7 games
Grimstroke
343 · 7 games
Juggernautoften banned
inYourdreaM · 7 games
T1
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
438 picks · 181 bans
Hoodwink
332 picks · 127 bans
Puck
316 picks · 682 bans
Nyx Assassin
315 picks · 627 bans
Ancient Apparition
307 picks · 473 bans
Mars
297 picks · 526 bans
Dragon Knight
272 picks · 345 bans
Lina
261 picks · 362 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 59%
Hero pool strength55% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total62% T1
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:16
Nigma Galaxy SEA 38%T1 62%
The model gave 62% on T1 — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 40:01.
Game 2prediction correct22:27
Nigma Galaxy SEA 38%T1 62%
The model gave 62% on T1 — the game was taken by T1 in 46:32.
Game 3prediction missed31:15
Nigma Galaxy SEA 38%T1 62%
The model gave 62% on T1 — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 34:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteT1 · 62%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3