LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO3
result vs prediction
Execrationloss 1:2series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Fnaticwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Execration
Ancient Apparitionsignature
RR · 14 games
Puckoften banned
Yowe · 14 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 12 games
Marsoften banned
Force · 11 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Palos · 11 games
Treant Protectorsignature
RR · 11 games
Viperoften banned
Force · 11 games
Abaddonsignature
RR · 10 games
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
439 picks · 179 bans
Hoodwink
332 picks · 126 bans
Nyx Assassin
319 picks · 627 bans
Puck
314 picks · 686 bans
Ancient Apparition
307 picks · 475 bans
Mars
297 picks · 528 bans
Dragon Knight
272 picks · 343 bans
Lina
262 picks · 362 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 58%
Hero pool strength57% Execration
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total60% Fnatic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:41
Execration 40%Fnatic 60%
The model gave 60% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Fnatic in 44:24.
Game 2prediction missed26:21
Execration 40%Fnatic 60%
The model gave 60% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Execration in 42:17.
Game 3prediction correct7:26
Execration 40%Fnatic 60%
The model gave 60% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Fnatic in 24:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteFnatic · 60%
Series resultFnatic 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3