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Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Khanwin 2:0
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Winstrike Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Khan

Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
antoha · 2 games
100%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
pJonn · 1 game
100%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Dodren · 1 game
100%
Lion
Lion
goddam · 1 game
100%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
layme · 1 game
100%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
goddam · 1 game
100%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
layme · 1 game
100%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
pJonn · 1 game
100%

Winstrike Team

Phoenix
Phoenix
yamich · 20 games
45%
Puck
Puckoften banned
re1bl · 13 games
46%
Lion
Lion
yamich · 12 games
25%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
dyrachyo · 12 games
42%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
re1bl · 12 games
50%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Panto · 11 games
45%
Axe
Axeoften banned
chshrct · 11 games
18%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Panto · 11 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
429 picks · 173 bans
54%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
311 picks · 618 bans
55%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
309 picks · 476 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
304 picks · 690 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
293 picks · 119 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
285 picks · 518 bans
49%
Lina
Lina
260 picks · 343 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
259 picks · 327 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength61% Khan
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Winstrike Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:28
Khan 47%Winstrike Team 53%
The model gave 53% on Winstrike Team — the game was taken by Khan in 55:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidlayme
51% · 88 games55% · 106 games
TerrorbladeEgor
Terrorblade
Invoker
InvokerDodren
55% · 135 games44% · 146 games
Linamellojul
Lina
Timbersaw
TimbersawpJonn
47% · 182 games43% · 234 games
Marschshrct
Mars
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassingoddam
57% · 224 games54% · 141 game
Miranayamich
Mirana
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernantoha
45% · 120 games49% · 122 games
AbaddonPanto
Abaddon
Game 2prediction missed24:6
Khan 46%Winstrike Team 54%
The model gave 54% on Winstrike Team — the game was taken by Khan in 28:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordlayme
58% · 103 games56% · 142 games
TerrorbladeEgor
Terrorblade
Puck
PuckDodren
48% · 386 games48% · 327 games
Void Spiritmellojul
Void Spirit
Timbersaw
TimbersawpJonn
46% · 158 games48% · 310 games
Marschshrct
Mars
Elder Titan
Elder Titanantoha
57% · 133 games51% · 51 game
Windrangeryamich
Windranger
Grimstroke
Grimstrokegoddam
43% · 235 games48% · 185 games
AbaddonPanto
Abaddon
Model check result
Model favoriteWinstrike Team · 57%
Series resultKhan 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2