LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
TEAM TEAMwin 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
simply TOOBASEDloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TEAM TEAM
Abaddonoften banned
ixmike88 · 1 game
Alchemistoften banned
Brax · 1 game
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
ixmike88 · 1 game
Faceless Voidoften banned
Sammyboy · 1 game
Gyrocopter
Sammyboy · 1 game
Hoodwink
FrancisLee · 1 game
Keeper of the Light
FrancisLee · 1 game
Lion
FrancisLee · 1 game
simply TOOBASED
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
433 picks · 172 bans
Ancient Apparition
313 picks · 476 bans
Nyx Assassin
309 picks · 622 bans
Puck
305 picks · 691 bans
Mars
289 picks · 520 bans
Hoodwink
288 picks · 119 bans
Lina
260 picks · 343 bans
Dragon Knight
258 picks · 326 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 20%
Hero pool strength51% simply TOOBASED
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% simply TOOBASED
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritesimply TOOBASED · 50%
Series resultTEAM TEAM 2:0
Series predictionmissed