LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO2
result vs prediction
T1win 2:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Neon Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
T1
No games played over 6 months.
Neon Esports
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 27 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
PlayHard · 26 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Skem · 23 games
Puckoften banned
Yopaj · 21 game
Sand King
Yopaj · 20 games
Tusk
Jaunuel · 18 games
Lion
Jaunuel · 15 games
Clockwerk
Jaunuel · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
424 picks · 171 bans
Ancient Apparition
313 picks · 474 bans
Nyx Assassin
309 picks · 614 bans
Puck
304 picks · 692 bans
Mars
296 picks · 517 bans
Hoodwink
279 picks · 119 bans
Lina
260 picks · 339 bans
Dragon Knight
257 picks · 324 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 60%
Hero pool strength54% Neon Esports
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total54% T1
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:17
T1 54%Neon Esports 46%
The model gave 54% on T1 — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 33:25.
Game 2prediction missed30:41
T1 54%Neon Esports 46%
The model gave 54% on T1 — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 50:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteT1 · 54%
Series resultT1 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2