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LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO2
result vs prediction
Fnaticwin 2:0
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Fnatic

No games played over 6 months.

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 16 games
69%
Puck
Pucksignature
AlaCrity · 16 games
63%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 11 games
73%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Poloson · 7 games
43%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Meracle · 7 games
57%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Meracle · 7 games
43%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 7 games
57%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
343 · 7 games
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
424 picks · 171 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
313 picks · 475 bans
56%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
308 picks · 614 bans
54%
Puck
Puck
304 picks · 690 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
296 picks · 519 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
279 picks · 117 bans
49%
Lina
Lina
259 picks · 338 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
256 picks · 322 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 53%
Hero pool strength55% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:31
Fnatic 45%Nigma Galaxy SEA 55%
The model gave 55% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 43:14.
Game 2prediction correct41:46
Fnatic 45%Nigma Galaxy SEA 55%
The model gave 55% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 1:11:06.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 55%
Series resultFnatic 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2