LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Unknownloss 0:2series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:2
simply TOOBASEDwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Unknown
Hoodwink
Wij · 13 games
Snapfire
Prada · 10 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Robo-Z · 9 games
Viperoften banned
Prada · 9 games
Marsoften banned
Robo-Z · 8 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Prada · 7 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Robo-Z · 7 games
Lion
Wij · 7 games
simply TOOBASED
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
426 picks · 171 bans
Ancient Apparition
312 picks · 474 bans
Nyx Assassin
307 picks · 616 bans
Puck
302 picks · 692 bans
Mars
296 picks · 519 bans
Hoodwink
278 picks · 116 bans
Lina
260 picks · 338 bans
Dragon Knight
256 picks · 319 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 17%
Hero pool strength51% simply TOOBASED
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% simply TOOBASED
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:35
Team Unknown 46%simply TOOBASED 54%
The model gave 54% on simply TOOBASED — the game was taken by simply TOOBASED in 41:36.
Game 2prediction correct25:39
Team Unknown 46%simply TOOBASED 54%
The model gave 54% on simply TOOBASED — the game was taken by simply TOOBASED in 38:02.
Model check result
Model favoritesimply TOOBASED · 54%
Series resultsimply TOOBASED 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2