LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Америка · BO3
result vs predictionFJFúria Jovemwin 2:1
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Infamousloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fúria Jovem
Ember Spiritoften banned
Sooths · 1 game
Mirana
RdO · 1 game
Nyx Assassinoften banned
RdO · 1 game
Shadow Demonoften banned
Duster · 1 game
Templar Assassinoften banned
Mandy · 1 game
Weaver
Mandy · 1 game
Windranger
Sooths · 1 game
Winter Wyvern
Duster · 1 game
Infamous
Tusk
Pamplona · 12 games
Dark Willow
Yor · 9 games
Leshracoften banned
ILICH- · 9 games
Void Spiritoften banned
PiPi · 8 games
Earth Spirit
Pamplona · 6 games
Invokeroften banned
PiPi · 6 games
Grimstroke
Yor · 5 games
Marsoften banned
ILICH- · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
426 picks · 171 bans
Ancient Apparition
312 picks · 473 bans
Nyx Assassin
307 picks · 617 bans
Puck
302 picks · 694 bans
Mars
298 picks · 520 bans
Hoodwink
278 picks · 114 bans
Lina
260 picks · 338 bans
Dragon Knight
256 picks · 319 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 44%
Hero pool strength57% Fúria Jovem
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:14
Fúria Jovem 39%Infamous 61%
The model gave 61% on Infamous — the game was taken by Fúria Jovem in 33:36.
Game 2prediction correct19:38
Fúria Jovem 39%Infamous 61%
The model gave 61% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 35:06.
Game 3prediction missed33:21
Fúria Jovem 39%Infamous 61%
The model gave 61% on Infamous — the game was taken by Fúria Jovem in 39:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 61%
Series resultFúria Jovem 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3