LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO2
result vs prediction
T1win 2:0series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Army Geniusesloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
T1
No games played over 6 months.
Army Geniuses
Earth Spiritsignature
Lym- · 13 games
Timbersawoften banned
woMy · 11 games
Mirana
Lym- · 9 games
Axeoften banned
db- · 7 games
Broodmotheroften banned
woMy · 7 games
Marsoften banned
woMy · 7 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
db- · 7 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
MamangDaya · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
426 picks · 169 bans
Ancient Apparition
313 picks · 468 bans
Nyx Assassin
304 picks · 613 bans
Puck
299 picks · 691 bans
Mars
296 picks · 526 bans
Hoodwink
264 picks · 111 bans
Enchantress
258 picks · 342 bans
Lina
256 picks · 334 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% T1
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% T1
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:9
T1 81%Army Geniuses 19%
The model gave 81% on T1 — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 28:05.
Game 2prediction missed32:11
T1 81%Army Geniuses 19%
The model gave 81% on T1 — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 30:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteT1 · 81%
Series resultT1 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2