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LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO2
result vs prediction
Motivate.Trust Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Execrationwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Motivate.Trust Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
Q · 15 games
87%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Q · 14 games
71%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
LionaX · 9 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Fearless · 9 games
89%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
LionaX · 8 games
38%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Q · 8 games
63%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
JaCkky · 6 games
83%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Fearless · 6 games
67%

Execration

Puck
Puckoften banned
Yowe · 14 games
57%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
RR · 13 games
69%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 12 games
58%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Force · 11 games
55%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Palos · 11 games
64%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
RR · 11 games
64%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
RR · 10 games
80%
Doom
Doomsignature
Force · 9 games
78%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
428 picks · 167 bans
52%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
316 picks · 473 bans
56%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
304 picks · 618 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
302 picks · 528 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
299 picks · 706 bans
49%
Enchantress
Enchantress
268 picks · 341 bans
47%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
265 picks · 111 bans
51%
Lina
Lina
257 picks · 334 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 41%
Hero pool strength56% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:38
Motivate.Trust Gaming 60%Execration 40%
The model gave 60% on Motivate.Trust Gaming — the game was taken by Execration in 40:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightFearless
49% · 73 games44% · 57 games
ViperPalos
Viper
Riki
RikiJaCkky
48% · 28 games51% · 95 games
LinaBob
Lina
Tusk
TuskQ
65% · 47 games56% · 85 games
Ancient ApparitionRR
Ancient Apparition
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeboombell
37% · 89 games
Game 2prediction missed34:32
Motivate.Trust Gaming 59%Execration 41%
The model gave 59% on Motivate.Trust Gaming — the game was taken by Execration in 50:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaFearless
58% · 65 games45% · 91 game
ViperBob
Viper
Medusa
MedusaJaCkky
52% · 44 games49% · 43 games
Drow RangerPalos
Drow Ranger
Rubick
RubickQ
52% · 48 games42% · 105 games
AbaddonRR
Abaddon
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinboombell
57% · 82 games
Model check result
Model favoriteMotivate.Trust Gaming · 64%
Series resultExecration 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2