LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO2
result vs prediction
Fnaticloss 0:2series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Execrationwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Execration
Ancient Apparitionsignature
RR · 12 games
Puckoften banned
Yowe · 12 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 12 games
Marsoften banned
Force · 11 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Palos · 11 games
Treant Protectorsignature
RR · 11 games
Doomsignature
Force · 9 games
Elder Titansignature
RR · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
426 picks · 166 bans
Ancient Apparition
313 picks · 473 bans
Mars
302 picks · 525 bans
Nyx Assassin
302 picks · 616 bans
Puck
296 picks · 705 bans
Enchantress
268 picks · 339 bans
Hoodwink
264 picks · 110 bans
Lina
257 picks · 332 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 40%
Hero pool strength55% Execration
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total66% Fnatic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:17
Fnatic 66%Execration 34%
The model gave 66% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Execration in 32:50.
Game 2prediction missed31:31
Fnatic 66%Execration 34%
The model gave 66% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Execration in 33:09.
Model check result
Model favoriteFnatic · 66%
Series resultExecration 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2