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LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO2
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 0:2
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Execrationwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 15 games
73%
Puck
Pucksignature
AlaCrity · 15 games
67%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 10 games
80%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
343 · 7 games
43%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Poloson · 7 games
100%
Spectre
Spectresignature
inYourdreaM · 7 games
71%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Poloson · 6 games
50%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Meracle · 6 games
67%

Execration

Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 14 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
RR · 11 games
64%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Force · 11 games
55%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Yowe · 11 games
45%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Palos · 11 games
64%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
RR · 11 games
64%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Palos · 10 games
50%
Doom
Doomsignature
Force · 9 games
78%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
430 picks · 166 bans
52%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
315 picks · 476 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
307 picks · 527 bans
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
304 picks · 613 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
298 picks · 711 bans
48%
Enchantress
Enchantress
269 picks · 344 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
263 picks · 147 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
258 picks · 107 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 38%
Hero pool strength54% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total75% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:31
Nigma Galaxy SEA 63%Execration 37%
The model gave 63% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Execration in 1:04:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunainYourdreaM
44% · 50 games52% · 63 games
GyrocopterPalos
Gyrocopter
Dark Seer
Dark SeerMeracle
49% · 31 game58% · 58 games
KunkkaBob
Kunkka
Puck
PuckAlaCrity
47% · 104 games53% · 137 games
AbaddonRR
Abaddon
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenPoloson
46% · 24 games
Clockwerk
ClockwerkJhocam
45% · 49 games
Game 2prediction missed29:39
Nigma Galaxy SEA 63%Execration 37%
The model gave 63% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Execration in 46:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautinYourdreaM
53% · 90 games49% · 124 games
LunaPalos
Luna
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightMeracle
51% · 142 games46% · 484 games
PuckBob
Puck
Void Spirit
Void SpiritAlaCrity
45% · 201 game51% · 155 games
Ancient ApparitionRR
Ancient Apparition
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonJhocam
56% · 58 games
Lion
LionPoloson
51% · 272 games
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 75%
Series resultExecration 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2