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LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO2
result vs prediction
Motivate.Trust Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Army Geniusesloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Motivate.Trust Gaming

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Q · 14 games
71%
Lion
Lionsignature
Q · 13 games
85%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
LionaX · 9 games
67%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
LionaX · 8 games
38%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Q · 8 games
63%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Fearless · 8 games
88%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
JaCkky · 6 games
83%
Medusa
Medusasignature
JaCkky · 6 games
83%

Army Geniuses

Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Lym- · 11 games
73%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
woMy · 10 games
60%
Mirana
Mirana
Lym- · 8 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
woMy · 7 games
43%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
woMy · 6 games
33%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
woMy · 6 games
33%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Lym- · 6 games
33%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Lym- · 6 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
427 picks · 167 bans
51%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
316 picks · 474 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
304 picks · 525 bans
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
303 picks · 614 bans
57%
Puck
Puck
299 picks · 710 bans
48%
Enchantress
Enchantress
270 picks · 347 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
266 picks · 149 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
255 picks · 105 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 41%
Hero pool strength59% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total74% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:12
Motivate.Trust Gaming 66%Army Geniuses 34%
The model gave 66% on Motivate.Trust Gaming — the game was taken by Motivate.Trust Gaming in 35:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerJaCkky
60% · 46 games51% · 80 games
Lunadb-
Luna
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritFearless
46% · 72 games48% · 73 games
ViperMamangDaya
Viper
Lion
LionQ
56% · 162 games54% · 54 games
SlardarwoMy
Slardar
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeboombell
39% · 117 games50% · 190 games
PhoenixLym-
Phoenix
Game 2prediction correct38:20
Motivate.Trust Gaming 65%Army Geniuses 35%
The model gave 65% on Motivate.Trust Gaming — the game was taken by Motivate.Trust Gaming in 34:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinJaCkky
54% · 78 games54% · 101 game
Terrorbladedb-
Terrorblade
Kunkka
KunkkaFearless
49% · 46 games50% · 105 games
LeshracMamangDaya
Leshrac
Mirana
MiranaQ
51% · 131 game49% · 106 games
TimbersawwoMy
Timbersaw
Lion
Lionboombell
48% · 174 games45% · 117 games
Earth SpiritLym-
Earth Spirit
Model check result
Model favoriteMotivate.Trust Gaming · 74%
Series resultMotivate.Trust Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2