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LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO2
result vs prediction
Motivate.Trust Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team SMGloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Motivate.Trust Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
Q · 13 games
85%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Q · 12 games
75%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
LionaX · 8 games
75%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
LionaX · 8 games
38%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Q · 8 games
63%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Fearless · 8 games
88%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
JaCkky · 6 games
83%
Medusa
Medusasignature
JaCkky · 6 games
83%

Team SMG

Lion
Lion
Roddgeee · 14 games
57%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
AhFu · 11 games
36%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Roddgeee · 9 games
56%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
kpii · 9 games
78%
Mars
Marssignature
Ohaiyo · 9 games
67%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
AhFu · 9 games
78%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
AhFu · 8 games
63%
Tusk
Tusk
AhFu · 8 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
425 picks · 168 bans
51%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
314 picks · 475 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
305 picks · 524 bans
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
303 picks · 612 bans
57%
Puck
Puck
299 picks · 711 bans
48%
Enchantress
Enchantress
273 picks · 347 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
266 picks · 149 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
255 picks · 105 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 44%
Hero pool strength54% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total62% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct51:14
Motivate.Trust Gaming 59%Team SMG 41%
The model gave 59% on Motivate.Trust Gaming — the game was taken by Motivate.Trust Gaming in 33:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinJaCkky
51% · 88 games52% · 46 games
DoomMoon
Doom
Sand King
Sand KingFearless
41% · 72 games50% · 96 games
MorphlingMidOne
Morphling
Clockwerk
ClockwerkQ
49% · 154 games59% · 82 games
Beastmasterkpii
Beastmaster
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeboombell
42% · 188 games60% · 87 games
Ancient ApparitionRoddgeee
Ancient Apparition
50% · 191 game
LionAhFu
Lion
Game 2prediction missed25:38
Motivate.Trust Gaming 56%Team SMG 44%
The model gave 56% on Motivate.Trust Gaming — the game was taken by Team SMG in 35:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaJaCkky
54% · 101 game47% · 72 games
MedusaMidOne
Medusa
Dark Seer
Dark SeerFearless
49% · 86 games40% · 57 games
Winter WyvernMoon
Winter Wyvern
Clockwerk
ClockwerkQ
54% · 124 games47% · 30 games
Brewmasterkpii
Brewmaster
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionboombell
54% · 133 games51% · 72 games
TuskAhFu
Tusk
49% · 213 games
LionRoddgeee
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteMotivate.Trust Gaming · 62%
Accuracy by game1 of 2