LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO2
result vs prediction
T1loss 1:1series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Execrationloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
T1
No games played over 6 months.
Execration
Void Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 14 games
Marsoften banned
Force · 11 games
Puckoften banned
Yowe · 11 games
Treant Protectorsignature
RR · 11 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
RR · 10 games
Morphlingoften banned
Palos · 10 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Palos · 10 games
Doomsignature
Force · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
423 picks · 170 bans
Ancient Apparition
316 picks · 473 bans
Mars
306 picks · 520 bans
Nyx Assassin
300 picks · 610 bans
Puck
297 picks · 712 bans
Enchantress
272 picks · 347 bans
Snapfire
266 picks · 152 bans
Hoodwink
255 picks · 104 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 41%
Hero pool strength54% Execration
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total62% T1
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:20
T1 62%Execration 38%
The model gave 62% on T1 — the game was taken by Execration in 38:29.
Game 2prediction missed37:18
T1 62%Execration 38%
The model gave 62% on T1 — the game was taken by Execration in 33:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteT1 · 62%
Accuracy by game0 of 2