LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO2
result vs prediction
T1loss 1:1series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team SMGloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
T1
No games played over 6 months.
Team SMG
Lion
Roddgeee · 14 games
Grimstroke
AhFu · 10 games
Brewmastersignature
kpii · 9 games
Marssignature
kpii · 9 games
Abaddonsignature
Roddgeee · 8 games
Enchantresssignature
AhFu · 8 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
AhFu · 8 games
Tusk
AhFu · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
421 picks · 170 bans
Ancient Apparition
316 picks · 472 bans
Mars
305 picks · 519 bans
Nyx Assassin
300 picks · 609 bans
Puck
297 picks · 710 bans
Enchantress
271 picks · 347 bans
Snapfire
266 picks · 152 bans
Tiny
256 picks · 212 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 45%
Hero pool strength55% Team SMG
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% T1
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:20
T1 57%Team SMG 43%
The model gave 57% on T1 — the game was taken by Team SMG in 36:13.
Game 2prediction missed21:39
T1 57%Team SMG 43%
The model gave 57% on T1 — the game was taken by Team SMG in 36:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteT1 · 57%
Accuracy by game0 of 2