BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
REKONIX
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 21 game
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 12 games
Tusksignature
dalul · 11 games
Gyrocoptersignature
TraVins · 10 games
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 10 games
Queen of Painsignature
inYourdreaM · 10 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 9 games
Razorsignature
Fbz · 8 games
GamerLegion
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 15 games
Jakirosignature
Speeed · 13 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 11 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Fayde · 10 games
Batridersignature
Speeed · 9 games
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 9 games
Clockwerksignature
Bignum · 9 games
Snapfire
Bignum · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
605 picks · 938 bans
Tusk
537 picks · 434 bans
Centaur Warrunner
492 picks · 645 bans
Dragon Knight
483 picks · 655 bans
Shadow Demon
442 picks · 953 bans
Ember Spirit
395 picks · 654 bans
Mars
392 picks · 529 bans
Warlock
379 picks · 233 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% REKONIX
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% REKONIX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed1:27
REKONIX 52%GamerLegion 48%
The model gave 52% on REKONIX — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 19:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MarsFbz
LargoFayde
PuckinYourdreaM
Void SpiritRCY
KezTraVins
AbaddonYamSun
Shadow Demondalul
JakiroBignum
Treant ProtectorVarizh
BatriderSpeeed
Model check result
Model favoriteREKONIX · 54%
Series resultGamerLegion 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1