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LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nigma Galaxy SEAwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Neon Esports

Mirana
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 25 games
68%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
PlayHard · 25 games
64%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Yopaj · 22 games
59%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Skem · 21 game
62%
Sand King
Sand King
Yopaj · 19 games
58%
Tusk
Tusksignature
PlayHard · 19 games
63%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Jaunuel · 13 games
54%
Lion
Lion
PlayHard · 13 games
54%

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 14 games
71%
Puck
Pucksignature
AlaCrity · 14 games
64%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 9 games
78%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
343 · 7 games
43%
Spectre
Spectresignature
inYourdreaM · 7 games
71%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Poloson · 6 games
50%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Meracle · 6 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Meracle · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
419 picks · 168 bans
52%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
314 picks · 470 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
307 picks · 523 bans
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
301 picks · 616 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
297 picks · 714 bans
49%
Enchantress
Enchantress
271 picks · 349 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
269 picks · 152 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
257 picks · 211 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total59% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:38
Neon Esports 53%Nigma Galaxy SEA 47%
The model gave 53% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 47:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerSkem
38% · 82 games57% · 138 games
Wraith KinginYourdreaM
Wraith King
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinYopaj
62% · 121 game49% · 293 games
PuckAlaCrity
Puck
Sand King
Sand KingEnryu
46% · 80 games48% · 92 games
TidehunterMeracle
Tidehunter
Mirana
MiranaShanks
53% · 186 games52% · 149 games
Ancient ApparitionPoloson
Ancient Apparition
Lion
LionJaunuel
47% · 351 game48% · 148 games
TuskJhocam
Tusk
Game 2prediction missed42:43
Neon Esports 52%Nigma Galaxy SEA 48%
The model gave 52% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 58:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetSkem
52% · 73 games51% · 106 games
LeshracinYourdreaM
Leshrac
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritYopaj
47% · 115 gameslittle data
MeepoAlaCrity
Meepo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightEnryu
49% · 168 games54% · 143 games
TimbersawMeracle
Timbersaw
Mirana
MiranaShanks
53% · 170 games51% · 221 game
PhoenixPoloson
Phoenix
Enchantress
EnchantressJaunuel
41% · 146 games50% · 202 games
LionJhocam
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 59%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2